Unit 2 · 13 questions · First-pass formative test

Sampling, probability, and distributions

Complete each question and check your interpretation. Correct answers and explanations appear only after you submit all responses.

Practice, not certification. This is an ungraded assessment with no timer, identity requirement, server-side score collection, or claim of educational accreditation. For questions involving real studies, use the stated assumptions.
Question 1 · Simple random sampling

What characterizes a simple random sample of n from N?

Question 2 · Stratified design

What is a defining feature of stratified sampling?

Question 3 · Cluster dependence

Why can 500 respondents from two schools offer less independent information than 500 separately selected students?

Question 4 · At least one success

In three independent fair coin tosses, what is the probability of at least one head?

Question 5 · Independence versus exclusion

Can two positive-probability events be both independent and mutually exclusive?

Question 6 · Selecting participants

How many four-person groups can be formed from eight distinct people without regard to order?

Question 7 · Law of total probability

60% use transit. Early commute rates are 30% among users and 10% among nonusers. Overall early commute rate?

Question 8 · Base-rate reasoning

A condition has prevalence 1%, test sensitivity 90%, specificity 95%. What is PPV approximately?

Question 9 · The expected outcome

A reward is 8 with probability .25 and 0 otherwise. What is its expected value?

Question 10 · Independent Bernoulli trials

For X~Binomial(40,.25), what is E[X]?

Question 11 · A count of no events

If X is Poisson with mean 2, P(X=0) is closest to which?

Question 12 · What becomes normal?

The central limit theorem typically concerns the limiting normality of which object under suitable conditions?

Question 13 · Probability under a density

For X~Uniform(0,2), what is P(.5<X<1.5)?

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